Fundamental, Research

How Papa John’s Is Reclaiming Market Share in the $40B U.S. Pizza War

Alex Fasciano, Senior Equity Research Analyst

What’s Driving Papa John’s Market Share Momentum in 2025?

The $40 billion U.S. pizza quick-service restaurant (QSR) industry is heating up—and Papa John’s (PZZA) is poised to gain ground. In this new thematic report, CFRA Research examines how value pricing, digital transformation, and revamped loyalty programs are helping Papa John’s challenge Domino’s (DPZ) and Pizza Hut (YUM) for market share leadership.

Our analysts explore how Papa John’s barbell pricing strategy—balancing entry-level deals with premium innovation—coupled with a strong push in marketing and tech, is fueling transaction growth and loyalty sign-ups. Meanwhile, Domino’s is showing signs of slowing, with four straight quarters of declining transactions.

Investors will find in-depth valuation comparisons, consensus estimate analysis, and an overview of competitive risks in this report—plus a breakdown of the potential impact from a rumored private equity bid.

What You Will Learn

  • Why Papa John’s promotional strategy is outpacing Domino’s
  • Which loyalty upgrades are accelerating repeat orders and traffic
  • The financial impact of pricing strategies on comp sales
  • Valuation insights: PZZA vs. DPZ heading into 2026
  • Potential upside from private equity acquisition rumors

Get access to the complete thematic analysis, charts, and investment implications.